Forbes analyst David Axe reports that the Russian offensive on Pokrovsk poses a significant threat to Ukrainian troops south of the Pokrovsk, endangering crucial supply routes. Russian forces have advanced 12 to 20 kilometers over two months, creating a salient of Ukrainian defenses. The Ukrainian Center for Defense Strategies warns that if the 25th Airborne Brigade fails to halt the Russians near Ukrainsk, Ukrainian troops could be encircled.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine have achieved partial success near Pokrovsk, regaining control of positions in Novohrodivka. Meanwhile, Russian forces have launched a new offensive targeting the industrial city of Vuhledar. A breakthrough in Vuhledar could undermine Ukrainian lines alongside the Pokrovsk salient. Russian mechanized attacks in the Vuhledar sector are ongoing but have diminished in intensity.
Forbes suggests that a Ukrainian retreat may already be underway, potentially saving entire battalions. Stabilizing the front line by fall is a possibility, but the situation remains tough. President Putin vows to persist and intensify Russian assaults in the Donbas region.
